Reserve Bank Update May 2026

RBA Increase To 4.35

RBA Cash Rate Update May 2026

What the May Decisions Means for Home Buyers, Homeowners and Investors

For the third consecutive meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) increased the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35% at its May meeting.

Read the full statement
here.
 
Inflation remains stubbornly above target. Annual trimmed mean inflation – the RBA’s preferred measure – held at 3.3% in the 12 months to March 2026, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, still well clear of the 2–3% target band despite two rate rises. However, headline inflation painted a more concerning picture, surging to 4.6% over the same period, driven largely by soaring transport costs as the Middle East conflict pushes up global oil prices.
 
The minutes from the Board’s March meeting showed it was already leaning toward further tightening. The minutes noted that members agreed it was important to demonstrate “a clear commitment to returning inflation to target”, warning that if medium- and long-term inflation expectations increased, “it would ultimately require significantly more contractionary monetary policy to achieve the Board’s objectives.” The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has since added to that concern, with higher global energy prices putting further upward pressure on domestic inflation.
 
With inflation still running above the 2–3% target band, the Board judged that further tightening was needed to return inflation to target in a reasonable timeframe.
 
If you’re feeling the pressure of back-to-back-to-back rate rises, it may be time to look at what options are available to you. I’m here to help you work through what this latest increase means for your repayments and your plans.
 

Will Banks Pass on the Change?

Yes, expect announcements to come thick and fast. 

Importantly, banks do not always move rates solely in response to RBA decisions.
Funding costs, competition and broader economic conditions can all influence pricing.

This means some lenders may still introduce:

    • New customer discounts.
    • Cashback or refinance promotions.
    • Changes to fixed-rate products.
    • Special offers for owner-occupiers or investors.

It is worth reviewing your loan regularly to ensure you are still receiving a competitive rate.

Borrowing Capacity Example

Interest rates play a major role in determining how much a borrower may be able to borrow.

As a simple example:

A couple earning a combined income of $180,000 per year with minimal existing debts may be able to borrow around the same amount as they could last month because the cash rate has remained unchanged.

If future rate cuts occur, borrowing capacity may improve. Even a reduction of 0.25% can potentially increase borrowing power by tens of thousands of dollars, depending on the applicant’s circumstances.

Every lender assesses borrowing capacity differently, so obtaining personalised advice is important.

My Outlook for the Next 6 Months

The RBA appears focused on balancing two priorities:

    • Bringing inflation back within its target range.
    • Avoiding unnecessary pressure on households and businesses.

If inflation continues to moderate and economic growth remains subdued, the conversation may gradually shift towards future rate reductions. However, the RBA has repeatedly emphasised that decisions will remain data dependent.

For borrowers, this means there may be opportunities ahead, but it would be unwise to assume rate cuts are guaranteed or imminent.

The best approach is to remain financially prepared, maintain a healthy buffer and review your lending strategy regularly.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will my mortgage repayments change after this announcement?

Yes. Since the RBA raised rates , most borrowers will get notification of an increase to their repayments.

Should I refinance now or wait?

This depends on your current interest rate, loan features and financial goals. Many borrowers can benefit from reviewing their loan even when the cash rate remains unchanged.

Will borrowing capacity improve if rates fall?

Generally, lower interest rates can increase borrowing capacity, although lender policies and serviceability assessments also play an important role.

Is now a good time to buy property?

The right time to buy is when your finances, goals and circumstances align. Interest rates are only one factor in the property purchasing decision.

How often does the RBA meet?

The RBA Board generally meets throughout the year to assess economic conditions and determine whether changes to the cash rate are required.

Q: How often should I review my home loan?

At least once per year. Market conditions change, new loan products become available, and your personal situation may change. An annual review ensures you’re always getting a good deal.

Why Work with Awesome Lending Solutions?

We make it easy to save money on your home loan, whether rates go up, down, or stay on hold.

What we do for you:

  • ✅ Compare rates from over 60 lenders
  • ✅ Negotiate better rates with your current lender
  • ✅ Handle all refinancing paperwork
  • ✅ Find loans with the features you need
  • ✅ Provide free rate reduction letters
  • ✅ Keep you updated on RBA rate decisions
  • ✅ Act in your best interests (required by law)

Our service is free for most home loan customers. We’re paid by the lenders, not by you, so there’s no cost to get expert help.

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